Is 45 minutes enough at TPA? 23% of inbound flights landed too late for it, allowing 30 minutes to reach the next gate. Book 90 minutes to keep the risk under 1 in 10, or 120 in July.
Separately, 1.9% of flights into TPA were cancelled or diverted (2.8% in July). That isn't a missed connection in the same sense: on one booking the airline rebooks you, though it can still cost you the day.
Check your exact itinerary through TPA →
Missed-connection risk by layover and month
Share of flights that landed at TPA too late for the connection (cancellations not included), pooled over 2023–2026. Read across your travel month.
| Layover | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 min | 29% | 24% | 31% | 25% | 31% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 23% | 23% | 21% | 30% | 29% |
| 50 min | 20% | 17% | 23% | 17% | 23% | 25% | 30% | 25% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 21% | 21% |
| 60 min | 15% | 12% | 18% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 24% | 20% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 16% | 16% |
| 75 min | 10% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 11% |
| 90 min | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 8% |
| 120 min | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
Counts flights that landed; cancelled and diverted inbound flights are reported separately above. Assumes 30 minutes to get off the plane and reach the next gate, and that the onward flight leaves on time. A terminal change or re-checking bags needs more.
Late in the day is riskier
Share of flights that would miss a 60-minute connection, by scheduled arrival time at TPA (past 12 months). Delays pile up through the day.
Riskiest flights in
| From | Flights | Miss 60 min |
|---|---|---|
| DFW Dallas | 2,917 | 22% |
| MIA Miami | 2,927 | 21% |
| FLL Fort Lauderdale | 1,412 | 21% |
| LGA New York | 2,763 | 21% |
| DCA Washington | 2,248 | 19% |
| ORD Chicago | 3,174 | 19% |
| PHL Philadelphia | 2,660 | 18% |
| BOS Boston | 2,780 | 18% |
| DAL Dallas | 1,273 | 18% |
| ATL Atlanta | 6,204 | 18% |
| JFK New York | 2,310 | 17% |
| PHX Phoenix | 1,217 | 17% |
Safest flights in
| From | Flights | Miss 60 min |
|---|---|---|
| LAX Los Angeles | 1,164 | 10% |
| IAD Washington | 1,287 | 11% |
| IAH Houston | 1,522 | 11% |
| RDU Raleigh | 1,294 | 11% |
| STL St. Louis | 1,234 | 12% |
| EWR Newark | 2,503 | 12% |
| MSP Minneapolis | 1,167 | 13% |
| BWI Baltimore | 2,651 | 13% |
| DEN Denver | 3,100 | 14% |
| DTW Detroit | 2,290 | 14% |
| MDW Chicago | 1,569 | 14% |
| CLT Charlotte | 3,038 | 15% |
Last flights of the day from TPA
If your inbound runs late and you miss one of these, the next flight is usually the next morning. Typical last scheduled departure over the past three months:
| To | Last departure | Flights / day |
|---|---|---|
| FLL Fort Lauderdale | 4:30 p.m. | 2.7 |
| CLT Charlotte | 4:45 p.m. | 6.9 |
| MSY New Orleans | 5:10 p.m. | 1.8 |
| IAH Houston | 5:25 p.m. | 3.3 |
| EWR Newark | 5:45 p.m. | 5.7 |
| DTW Detroit | 6:07 p.m. | 4.4 |
| MSP Minneapolis | 6:25 p.m. | 3.3 |
| PHX Phoenix | 6:31 p.m. | 2.7 |
| LGA New York | 6:44 p.m. | 6.3 |
| IAD Washington | 6:57 p.m. | 3.4 |
| DCA Washington | 7:03 p.m. | 5.6 |
| LAX Los Angeles | 7:15 p.m. | 2.5 |
| HOU Houston | 7:25 p.m. | 2.9 |
| MIA Miami | 7:38 p.m. | 7.2 |
| ORD Chicago | 7:42 p.m. | 6.7 |
| DFW Dallas | 7:49 p.m. | 8.3 |
| BNA Nashville | 7:50 p.m. | 7 |
| AUS Austin | 7:51 p.m. | 4.1 |
| JFK New York | 7:59 p.m. | 6.4 |
| ATL Atlanta | 8:02 p.m. | 17.3 |
| DEN Denver | 8:25 p.m. | 8.4 |
| DAL Dallas | 8:30 p.m. | 3.4 |
| BOS Boston | 8:33 p.m. | 6.7 |
| BWI Baltimore | 8:55 p.m. | 6.5 |
| STL St. Louis | 8:55 p.m. | 3.3 |
| RDU Raleigh | 8:59 p.m. | 3.6 |
| MDW Chicago | 9:20 p.m. | 4 |
| SJU San Juan | 9:35 p.m. | 5.4 |
| CLE Cleveland | 10:04 p.m. | 2.9 |
| PHL Philadelphia | 10:30 p.m. | 6.7 |
Questions
Is 45 minutes enough for a connection at TPA?
Often, not always. Over the past year 23% of flights into Tampa landed too late to leave 30 minutes to reach the next gate on a 45-minute layover. With 60 minutes it was 16%; with 90, 8%. Separately, 1.9% of inbound flights were cancelled or diverted; on one booking the airline rebooks you.
How long a layover do I need at TPA?
To keep the risk of a late inbound below 1 in 10, about 90 minutes on an average month and 120 minutes in July, the worst month. Add time if you change terminals or need to re-check bags.
An estimate from past arrival delays, not a guarantee. On one ticket, the airline will rebook you if you misconnect. On separate tickets you're on your own, so leave far more time. Method.