80% of flights from Tampa to Baltimore arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 96% of the time; the 6 p.m. ones 61%. Most reliable airline: Frontier Airlines (84%). 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for TPA → BWI: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 61% of the time. About 1 in 19 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 154 three hours or more; 1.8% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early80%
- 15–30 min late7.1%
- 30–60 min late5.3%
- 1–2 hours late3.7%
- 2–3 hours late0.9%
- 3+ hours late0.6%
- Diverted0.6%
- Cancelled1.8%
Share of all 2,626 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 2,261 | 79% | 1.6% | −6 min | 5.2% | +54 min | Southwest Airlines |
| Frontier Airlines | 337 | 84% | 2.1% | −12 min | 5.3% | +63 min | Frontier Airlines |
| Spirit Airlines | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | Spirit Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at TPA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | Southwest Airlines |
|---|---|
| 5 a.m. | 91% |
| 6 a.m. | 97% |
| 7 a.m. | 91% |
| 8 a.m. | 93% |
| 9 a.m. | 83% |
| 10 a.m. | 89% |
| noon | 89% |
| 2 p.m. | 74% |
| 3 p.m. | 71% |
| 5 p.m. | 65% |
| 6 p.m. | 60% |
Last flight of the day
On TPA → BWI, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.2% of the time, against 1.7% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 1.0% of the time (earlier flights: 0.6%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 8:55 p.m. | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | first flight 6:45 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (88%). Worst: July (65%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 418 | 76% | 2.4% |
| Tuesday | 338 | 83% | 2.1% |
| Wednesday | 337 | 90% | 0.0% |
| Thursday | 389 | 80% | 0.8% |
| Friday | 410 | 82% | 1.7% |
| Saturday | 336 | 82% | 0.6% |
| Sunday | 398 | 70% | 4.3% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 29 · airline 9 · air traffic/airport 8
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F9 4092 | 8:15 a.m. | 201 | 90% | 2.0% | −14 min | Frontier Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 7 | 14% | 6 |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 5 | 20% | 0 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 8 | 25% | 2 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 8 | 25% | 4 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | 8 | 25% | 6 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Tampa or Baltimore. TPA → IAD has been 5 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| TPA → BWI (this route) | 2,626 | 80% | 1.8% |
| TPA → IAD Tampa to Washington Dulles | 1,288 | 85% | 1.0% |
| SRQ → BWI Sarasota Bradenton to Baltimore/Washington | 1,248 | 82% | 1.7% |
| SRQ → DCA Sarasota Bradenton to Washington Reagan National | 465 | 72% | 1.7% |
| TPA → DCA Tampa to Washington Reagan National | 2,249 | 72% | 2.5% |
Questions
How often are flights from TPA to BWI on time?
80% of 2,626 scheduled flights from Tampa, FL to Baltimore, MD arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.8% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly TPA to BWI?
Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (96% on time). The 6 p.m. departures were the least (61%).
Which airline is most on time from TPA to BWI?
Frontier Airlines: 84% of its 337 flights on the route arrived on time. Southwest Airlines: 79%.
What month has the most delays from TPA to BWI?
July (65% on time). The best month is November (88%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from TPA to BWI more likely to be cancelled?
No, the opposite. Each airline's last TPA–BWI flight of the day was cancelled 1.2% of the time over the past year, against 1.7% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- BWI → TPA (return)
- Tampa (TPA) delays by hour
- Flights into Baltimore/Washington (BWI)
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Frontier Airlines on-time record
- Spirit Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.