76% of flights from Santa Ana to Newark arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 9 p.m. departures ran on time 84% of the time; the noon ones 61%. 14% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SNA → EWR: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 45% of the time. About 1 in 10 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 24 three hours or more; 2.1% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early76%
- 15–30 min late6.1%
- 30–60 min late4.2%
- 1–2 hours late4.0%
- 2–3 hours late1.4%
- 3+ hours late4.1%
- Diverted2.0%
- Cancelled2.1%
Share of all 1,091 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 1,091 | 76% | 2.1% | −9 min | 9.5% | +134 min | United Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SNA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On SNA → EWR, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.3% of the time, against 1.5% for its earlier flights (2.2× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 5.0% of the time (earlier flights: 3.7%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 9:14 p.m. | 3.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% | first flight 6:45 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in EWR tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: February (85%). Worst: July (67%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 159 | 77% | 3.1% |
| Tuesday | 156 | 78% | 1.3% |
| Wednesday | 155 | 83% | 0.0% |
| Thursday | 154 | 73% | 1.9% |
| Friday | 156 | 78% | 1.9% |
| Saturday | 155 | 81% | 1.9% |
| Sunday | 156 | 62% | 4.5% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 15 · airline 4 · air traffic/airport 4
Month by month
Not enough months with data to draw a trend.
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA 661 | 6:45 a.m. | 178 | 85% | 1.7% | −11 min | United Airlines |
| UA 1559 | 12:29 p.m. | 343 | 61% | 1.8% | −1 min | United Airlines |
| UA 2186 | 9:14 p.m. | 363 | 84% | 3.3% | −12 min | United Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 2 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 0% | 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Santa Ana or Newark. None has been clearly more reliable than SNA → EWR.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| SNA → EWR (this route) | 1,091 | 76% | 2.1% |
| LAX → EWR Los Angeles LAX to Newark | 4,748 | 77% | 2.1% |
| LAX → JFK Los Angeles LAX to New York JFK | 10,289 | 75% | 2.9% |
| SNA → JFK Orange County John Wayne to New York JFK | 493 | 71% | 2.8% |
Questions
How often are flights from SNA to EWR on time?
76% of 1,091 scheduled flights from Santa Ana, CA to Newark, NJ arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.1% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly SNA to EWR?
Flights scheduled to leave at 9 p.m. were the most reliable (84% on time). The noon departures were the least (61%).
What month has the most delays from SNA to EWR?
July (67% on time). The best month is February (85%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from SNA to EWR more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last SNA–EWR flight of the day was cancelled 3.3% of the time over the past year, against 1.5% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- EWR → SNA (return)
- Orange County John Wayne (SNA) delays by hour
- Flights into Newark (EWR)
- United Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.