74% of flights from Philadelphia to New Orleans arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 78% of the time; the 7 p.m. ones 60%. Most reliable airline: American Airlines (75%). 13% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for PHL → MSY: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 50% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 54 three hours or more; 3.0% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early74%
- 15–30 min late7.0%
- 30–60 min late6.7%
- 1–2 hours late4.5%
- 2–3 hours late2.6%
- 3+ hours late1.9%
- Diverted0.6%
- Cancelled3.0%
Share of all 1,135 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 977 | 75% | 3.1% | −11 min | 8.0% | +75 min | American Airlines 70%, PSA Airlines 29%, Republic Airways 1% |
| Frontier Airlines | 158 | 69% | 2.5% | −7 min | 14.6% | +79 min | Frontier Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at PHL). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | American Airlines |
|---|---|
| 8 a.m. | 79% |
| 1 p.m. | 74% |
| 7 p.m. | 60% |
Last flight of the day
On PHL → MSY, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 4.4% of the time, against 2.3% for its earlier flights (1.9× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.7% of the time (earlier flights: 1.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 7:40 p.m. | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | first flight 8:50 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in MSY tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (87%). Worst: July (63%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 184 | 71% | 4.3% |
| Tuesday | 132 | 77% | 2.3% |
| Wednesday | 138 | 75% | 2.2% |
| Thursday | 176 | 72% | 1.7% |
| Friday | 176 | 77% | 2.3% |
| Saturday | 148 | 78% | 1.4% |
| Sunday | 181 | 67% | 6.1% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 25 · airline 5 · air traffic/airport 4
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F9 4781 | 4:54 p.m. | 158 | 69% | 2.5% | −7 min | Frontier Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 0 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 0 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 3 |
Questions
How often are flights from PHL to MSY on time?
74% of 1,135 scheduled flights from Philadelphia, PA to New Orleans, LA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 3.0% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly PHL to MSY?
Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (78% on time). The 7 p.m. departures were the least (60%).
Which airline is most on time from PHL to MSY?
American Airlines: 75% of its 977 flights on the route arrived on time. Frontier Airlines: 69%.
What month has the most delays from PHL to MSY?
July (63% on time). The best month is November (87%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from PHL to MSY more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last PHL–MSY flight of the day was cancelled 4.4% of the time over the past year, against 2.3% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- MSY → PHL (return)
- Philadelphia (PHL) delays by hour
- Flights into New Orleans (MSY)
- American Airlines on-time record
- Frontier Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.