79% of flights from Chicago to Panama City arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 86% of the time; the 10 a.m. ones 77%. Most reliable airline: American Airlines (79%). 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for ORD → ECP: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 54% of the time. About 1 in 14 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 110 three hours or more; 1.4% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early79%
- 15–30 min late6.1%
- 30–60 min late6.5%
- 1–2 hours late5.0%
- 2–3 hours late1.1%
- 3+ hours late0.9%
- Diverted0.0%
- Cancelled1.4%
Share of all 659 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 387 | 79% | 0.3% | −6 min | 7.8% | +68 min | SkyWest 45%, Republic Airways 34%, United Airlines 20% |
| American Airlines | 264 | 79% | 3.0% | −14 min | 6.1% | +52 min | Envoy 62%, Republic Airways 38% |
| Southwest Airlines | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | Southwest Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at ORD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | United Airlines | American Airlines |
|---|---|---|
| 7 a.m. | 86% | — |
| 10 a.m. | 75% | — |
| 11 a.m. | — | 79% |
Last flight of the day
On ORD → ECP, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.1% of the time, against 0.5% for its earlier flights (2.1× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.1% of the time (earlier flights: 1.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 10:47 a.m. | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | first flight 10:33 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in ECP tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (82%). Worst: June (71%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 92 | — | — |
| Tuesday | 84 | — | — |
| Wednesday | 85 | — | — |
| Thursday | 93 | — | — |
| Friday | 93 | — | — |
| Saturday | 119 | 80% | 0.0% |
| Sunday | 93 | — | — |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: air traffic/airport 5 · weather 4
Month by month
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 0 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 1 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| May 24, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 4 | 25% | 0 |
Questions
How often are flights from ORD to ECP on time?
79% of 659 scheduled flights from Chicago, IL to Panama City, FL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.4% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly ORD to ECP?
Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (86% on time). The 10 a.m. departures were the least (77%).
Which airline is most on time from ORD to ECP?
American Airlines: 79% of its 264 flights on the route arrived on time. United Airlines: 79%.
What month has the most delays from ORD to ECP?
June (71% on time). The best month is April (82%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from ORD to ECP more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last ORD–ECP flight of the day was cancelled 1.1% of the time over the past year, against 0.5% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- ECP → ORD (return)
- Chicago O'Hare (ORD) delays by hour
- Flights into Northwest Florida Beaches (ECP)
- United Airlines on-time record
- American Airlines on-time record
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.