ON TIMEBOARD

BWI → SAN on time

Baltimore/Washington (Baltimore, MD) to San Diego (San Diego, CA). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
71%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
1.4%
1,165 flights
Typical arrival
−1 min
median vs schedule
When late
+49 min
average delay
Flights / day
3
1 airline

71% of flights from Baltimore to San Diego arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 85% of the time; the 8 p.m. ones 62%. 7% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BWI → SAN: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 66% of the time. About 1 in 18 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 166 three hours or more; 1.4% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,165 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Southwest Airlines1,16571%1.4%−1 min5.4%+49 minSouthwest Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BWI). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: 85% on time (190 flights)856a7 a.m. departures: too few flights (51 flights)7a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (83 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: 77% on time (129 flights)779a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (8 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (53 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (49 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (33 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (34 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (83 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (89 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (13 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (81 flights)6p7 p.m. departures: 69% on time (108 flights)697p8 p.m. departures: 62% on time (109 flights)628p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (52 flights)9p
BWI → SAN, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On BWI → SAN, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.9% of the time, against 1.1% for its earlier flights (1.7× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.5% of the time (earlier flights: 0.6%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Southwest Airlines9:05 p.m.1.9%0.5%1.1%first flight 7:90 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in SAN tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (87%). Worst: July (63%).

40%70%100%Jan: 79% on time (204 flights)79JanFeb: 75% on time (182 flights)75FebMar: 78% on time (265 flights)78MarApr: 69% on time (260 flights)69AprMay: 71% on time (283 flights)71MayJun: 63% on time (298 flights)63JunJul: 63% on time (314 flights)63JulAug: 73% on time (293 flights)73AugSep: 73% on time (232 flights)73SepOct: 75% on time (224 flights)75OctNov: 87% on time (215 flights)87NovDec: 74% on time (231 flights)74Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday19170%1.6%
Tuesday15973%1.9%
Wednesday15773%0.0%
Thursday18374%0.5%
Friday18969%0.5%
Saturday12977%1.6%
Sunday15766%3.8%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 40%Late inbound plane 33%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 24%Severe weather 3%Security 1%

Cancellations: weather 14 · airline 2

Month by month

40%70%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026May 2024: 63% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2024: 70% on time, 0.9% cancelledJul 2024: 57% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2024: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2025: 75% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2025: 66% on time, 1.0% cancelledMar 2026: 78% on time, 2.9% cancelledApr 2026: 66% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2026: 78% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2026: 50% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2026: 69% on time, 3.8% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
BWI → SAN, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Jul 10, 202640%0
Apr 27, 202640%0
May 4, 202640%0
Dec 14, 202540%0
Dec 19, 202540%0

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Baltimore or San Diego. IAD → SAN has been 10 points more reliable.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
BWI → SAN (this route)1,16571%1.4%
IAD → SAN Washington Dulles to San Diego1,40282%0.7%

Questions

How often are flights from BWI to SAN on time?

71% of 1,165 scheduled flights from Baltimore, MD to San Diego, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.4% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly BWI to SAN?

Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (85% on time). The 8 p.m. departures were the least (62%).

What month has the most delays from BWI to SAN?

July (63% on time). The best month is November (87%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from BWI to SAN more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last BWI–SAN flight of the day was cancelled 1.9% of the time over the past year, against 1.1% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.