ON TIMEBOARD

AS 406 on time

Alaska Airlines 406: Seattle to Washington at 4:01 p.m. (past 12 months)

On time
81%
125 flights · likely 73–87%
Cancelled
0.8%
of scheduled flights
Typical arrival
−8 min
median vs schedule
When late
+35 min
average delay
Similar flights
80%
AS, same route & hour

About 1 in 5 AS 406 flights from Seattle arrived 15+ minutes late, diverted or cancelled over the past year (19%); 0.8% were cancelled. The typical flight landed 8 minutes early.

AS 406: SEA → IAD

Scheduled to leave Seattle at 4:01 p.m. local time. Over the past year it arrived on time 81% of the time (125 flights), in line with other AS flights on the route at that hour (80%). Last seen in the data Aug 18, 2026.

Month by month

40%70%100%May 2025: 69% on time (29 flights)69MayJun 2025: 69% on time (29 flights)69JunJul 2025: 55% on time (31 flights)55JulAug 2025: 71% on time (31 flights)71AugSep 2025: too few flights (4 flights)SepOct 2025: 82% on time (22 flights)82OctNov 2025: too few flights (9 flights)NovDec 2025: 93% on time (15 flights)93DecJan 2026: too few flights (6 flights)JanJun 2026: 90% on time (20 flights)90JunJul 2026: 74% on time (31 flights)74JulAug 2026: 67% on time (18 flights)67Aug

By day of week

DayFlightsOn time
Monday19—
Tuesday18—
Wednesday16—
Thursday18—
Friday17—
Saturday19—
Sunday18—

Why it was late

Late inbound plane 56%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 32%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 12%

All flights SEA → IAD · Connecting off AS 406? Check the risk

Questions

How often is AS 406 from SEA to IAD late?

Alaska Airlines 406 from Seattle, WA to Washington, DC arrived 15 or more minutes late, was diverted or was cancelled on 19% of 125 scheduled flights between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.8% were cancelled.

Flight numbers change. Figures cover flights with this airline, number and route only. "Likely range" is the 95% interval for the true on-time rate given the number of flights. This is history, not live status: check Alaska Airlines for today's flight. Method.