ON TIMEBOARD

AA 4451 on time

American Airlines 4451: Richmond to New York at 6:00 a.m. (past 12 months)

On time
81%
307 flights · likely 77–85%
Cancelled
3.6%
of scheduled flights
Typical arrival
−10 min
median vs schedule
When late
+78 min
average delay
Similar flights
81%
AA, same route & hour

About 1 in 5 AA 4451 flights from Richmond arrived 15+ minutes late, diverted or cancelled over the past year (19%); 3.6% were cancelled. The typical flight landed 10 minutes early.

AA 4451: RIC → LGA

Scheduled to leave Richmond at 6:00 a.m. local time, operated by Republic Airways as YX 4451. Over the past year it arrived on time 81% of the time (307 flights), in line with other AA flights on the route at that hour (81%). Last seen in the data Aug 31, 2026.

Month by month

40%70%100%Sep 2025: 92% on time (26 flights)92SepOct 2025: 87% on time (30 flights)87OctNov 2025: 78% on time (27 flights)78NovDec 2025: 62% on time (26 flights)62DecJan 2026: 77% on time (26 flights)77JanFeb 2026: 75% on time (24 flights)75FebMar 2026: 74% on time (23 flights)74MarApr 2026: 86% on time (22 flights)86AprMay 2026: 91% on time (23 flights)91MayJun 2026: 85% on time (26 flights)85JunJul 2026: 86% on time (28 flights)86JulAug 2026: 85% on time (26 flights)85Aug

By day of week

DayFlightsOn time
Monday5372%
Tuesday5275%
Wednesday5287%
Thursday5088%
Friday5184%
Saturday4085%
Sunday9—

Why it was late

Air traffic & airport (NAS) 45%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 35%Late inbound plane 10%Severe weather 9%

All flights RIC → LGA · Connecting off AA 4451? Check the risk

Questions

How often is AA 4451 from RIC to LGA late?

American Airlines 4451 from Richmond, VA to New York, NY arrived 15 or more minutes late, was diverted or was cancelled on 19% of 307 scheduled flights between September 2025 and August 2026. 3.6% were cancelled.

Flight numbers change. Figures cover flights with this airline, number and route only. "Likely range" is the 95% interval for the true on-time rate given the number of flights. This is history, not live status: check American Airlines for today's flight. Method.